THE SPA AT SARATOGA

Thursday, September 27, 2012

WHAT YOU GET WITH WWW.TURFRACE.NET

Turfrace has grown very rapidly to over 700 members and for a reason; accurate detailed racing information.  My ultimate goal, naturally, is to make money.  But nothing excites me more than when my members have a big day along with me and write to me about their day.  

Turfrace is more of a club for members than a website selling racing reports.  There is no other racing website on the internet where you can ask a question, have a problem with an order, or just plain correspond with the handicapper, etc. and get an answer within an hour or two.  And from the guy in charge himself I might add. 

Many times I will take half an hour to answer a single handicapping question for a member.  Try getting that on another racing site?  They email you that they will get back to you in 24 hours and many times they never do. 

In the many years that Turfrace has been on the internet it has never had a single member payment dispute.  In fact, I often notify a member that he or she has mistakenly over paid or ordered twice.

Quite frequently I give free days.  And I do it for all members, including those that have never purchased a Turfrace product which is unfortunate for those members.  The reason, if you are betting the races, there is no more informative racing information anywhere than Fox Powers.

Believe it, or don't believe it, Ray Fox makes his living betting, not from selling Fox Powers on Turfrace.net.  There have been occasions when I have hit $25,000 supers on back to back days which makes selling Fox Powers kind of small.  Still, do I like selling Fox Powers for just $25.95 a month, not really.  Compared to the $5 a day for the DRF, they are far too inexpensive for the detail you get and the results.  Sorry, but if you can’t win with Fox Powers you have a problem with your methodology.

In an effort to get more members I added sports.  But I added the sports, for members and myself, only because I know I have access to someone's bets that is one of the best in the Country.  He's someone who is more than just proficient.  In six weeks he has yet to have a losing week in total.

Whether it's Turfrace or not, deal with sites that look at you as a person, a partner, not just some account number.

Thursday, August 23, 2012

READ THE RACE CONDITIONS AND FIND WINNERS

Reading the conditions may find you an easy winner. Some of these races give you a low probability of winning your bet if your approach is not sound.


A. Two year old races. For lack of credible past performances and the fact that they are green. All horses have a birthday on January 1st no matter which month it was born. So a foal in January is a lot stronger and mature than one born in May. So check the month born if you bet two year old races.

B. Non winners of two lifetime. I see horses bet down to even money in a race that has never won a 2nd race yet. All have one win and in essence they are all equal unless there is a legitimate class drop. Otherwise, go for a high odds horse here. Or, consider betting a horse that has raced only once or twice as he hasn't proven himself a born loser yet where others may be 1 for 17, etc.. Avoid horses with 10 or more starts and only one win unless he is dropping at least 50% in class. For exotics think about an "All" on top in this type of race.

C. Turf races that have large fields and half having never run on the grass. Trainers experiment here. Don't let them do it with your money. Just when you think you have a winner, some first timer on turf decides he loves grass and destroys the field and the logical horse.

D. Claiming races for maidens. These are not bad races to bet if you are selective. Definitely lean towards any MSW running for a tag for the first time. I consider this the biggest class drop in racing and you had better also. Again, in maiden races avoid those with 10 or more starts and no win with the exception that he is dropping into easier company.

E. Claiming and Allowance races. Be careful deciding that a horse is dropping in class as he may not be. I hear handicappers saying I have to bet the class here, "this horse is dropping from $20K to $12K". But is he really dropping, or is he running where he should have been all along. A $20K horse who has consistently finished far up the track in all its races is not dropping. He has been running over his head and was never a $20K horse to begin with. Trainers and owners don't give away a $20K horse for $10K. Remember that every owner thinks his horse is better than it is and insists the trainer run it at a price he cannot compete. The same is true of a horse going from allowance to claiming. Is he dropping or is it that he never was an allowance horse to begin with. I recall a very consistant horse at Calder who could have won 15 allowance races. His owner refused to let the trainer run him in anything but stakes races. Such a shame, the horse was a very good allowance horse.

F. Starter handicaps. Great races to bet and easy ones to win. Again look at the conditions then look for and an improving horse over the last 4 or 5 races. If the conditions say a horse is eligible if it ran for $5K in the past xxx days he meets the conditions. And he is presently running well for $25K, you have a probable winner. You are getting a $25K horse competing against $5K horses. There may be more than one of these standouts so box them. A novice handicapper will probably base his selection on a horse that shows good races of late, but for $5K.