THE SPA AT SARATOGA

Monday, March 4, 2013

IMPORTANT CONSIDERATIONS THEY WILL MAKE YOU WIN AT THE RACES

MONEY MANAGEMENTFor money management, use this as an approach.  Always wager 10% of your bankroll in each of the races you choose to bet.  That will ensure that when you are losing, the amount of your wagers are decreasing and when winning the amount of your wagers is increasing.  A very good rule of thumb for making sure your bankroll lasts the entire day.

WIN  MORE AND GAIN FLEXIBILITYConsider this when betting daily doubles. A significant amount of smart, or hidden money, is wagered in daily doubles rather than the win pool. In the doubles pool the public is less likely apt to find a horse being heavily bet.

Let's assume you are betting four $10 doubles, the #3 and #4 in the first half of your doubles bet with the #5 and #7 in the second half of the double.  That's a total cost of $40. Instead of betting those doubles bet $20 to win on the #3 horse and $20 on the #4 horse. If one wins, take the entire amount you are returned and bet half of it on the #5 and half on the #7, the same two horses that you were going to use in the second half of the double.

You'll be surprised how many times you will have collected more using the above approach than you would have betting it in doubles.  And here is the most important element.  You have the flexibility to put the money in your pocket should you decide you no longer like the #5 or #7 for that second half of the daily double.  There's no withdrawl option with double tickets once you buy them and win the first half.

There’s nothing more depressing than winning the first half of a daily double with a $40 winner only to lose in the second half.  Using my suggestion you have a very nice profit in your hand and can decide what you wish to do.  It’s a great position to be in at the races.

RAY FOX IS A PROFESSIONAL THOROUGHBRED HANDICAPPER FOR WWW.TURFRACE.NET AND THE AUTHOR OF RACING ARTICLES THAT HELP THOROUGHBRED RACING FANS NATIONWIDE WIN AT THE RACES.

WHAT MAKES 700 HANDICAPPERS CHOOSE TURFRACE.NET?

WHY FOX POWERS ARE SO POPULAR WITH 700 TURFRACE MEMBERS
Reading a racing form is very time consuming and unless you are a seasoned handicapper and can remember and understand all that you've read, then you need an alternative approach.  And there is an alternative that eliminates both time consumption and a lack of handicappingknow how. 

Ray Fox's Turfrace.net featuring Fox Powers puts all of the volume of information that you must read in a racing form into single powerful numbers without spending hours of time and work.  Fox Powers are  simple to use and understand for either the novice or the seasoned handicapper. 

Fox Powers are far less expensive plus the end result is the power ratings of Ray Fox winner of the World Cup of Handicapping and 5 time top ten finisher in national competition.  Why do it yourself???

RAY FOX IS A PROFESSIONAL THOROUGHBRED HANDICAPPER FOR WWW.TURFRACE.NET AND THE AUTHOR OF RACING ARTICLES THAT HELP THOROUGHBRED RACING FANS NATIONWIDE WIN AT THE RACES.

HANDICAPPING REMINDERS THAT WILL MAKE YOU A WINNER

Although most avid handicappers are already aware of these basic rules of thumb, but it's always a good idea for all of us to be reminded. So here are just a few of the things I try to always remember when betting.

Be very selective with the races you choose to bet. Although most bettors want to beat the chalk, is it a good idea to try and beat a very strong horse with one that you know to be inferior? Have a good reason for thinking you can beat a strong horse who is a deserving favorite. Don't rely on the fact that favorites lose 70% of the time. Skip that race, there are a many others to bet on where there isn't that much to beat.

Learn to accept the low price you have to take wagering on a real good horse. You won't go broke cashing those $4.60 winners.  For your value find a good double digit odds horse to put underneath that strong horse in exactas and trifectas.

Don't rely on closers getting to the line first as much as you would with one of the speed holding up. Closers usually find trouble somewhere in the race in addition to having to run down several speed horses, not just one. And the cheaper the race class, the worse it is to bet a big closer.
Don't be so quick to eliminate a good horse that has been laid up for a while. They are star athletes and can run well the first time back, especially in races where the other horses are mediocre. Good trainers rest good horses and don't place them in stiff competition after a lay off.  Don't assume the allowance horse who hasn't run in 70 days has been laying in his stall and eating all day. Laid up cheap claimers. on the other hand, raise a red flag. A lack of races, especially with a class drop, is a sign of an unhealthy horse

Use every advantage to you can to keep your money. The states are the big winners in every race with their steady take outs. Pick 3's and 4's are the best bets available since you get to bet multiple races with one take out. Avoid IRS reporting by buying $1 tickets instead of $2 tickets. And always buy 10 cent superfecta tickets, especially when using "alls" in one, or more, of the holes.

RAY FOX IS A PROFESSIONAL THOROUGHBRED HANDICAPPER FOR WWW.TURFRACE.NET AND THE AUTHOR OF RACING ARTICLES THAT HELP THOROUGHBRED RACING FANS NATIONWIDE WIN AT THE RACES.

THOROUGHBRED HANDICAPPING WITH FOX POWERS

A member asked me what regular approach I take each day when betting my Fox Powers.  Here is my personal approach to how I select horses to bet each day.  If you are currently betting with Fox Powers it may improve your $$$ performance at the races..

First, I select 2 tracks only for a day.  Everyone has favorite tracks so bet at the 2 tracks you like.  When there is a bad race at one of the 2 tracks, I go to the other track.  I bet about 14 races each day because there are usually, for various reasons, 5-6 races that put you at a large disadvantage.  The 5-6 races I eliminate because of too many unknowns are those with more than two 1st time starters. If one or both first timers are 5-1 or less I skip the race.

 When I first glance at the Fox Power race card, the first thing that catches my eye are horses with a double digit number in every category accross the board.  That horse is a strong horse no matter where in the Fox Power order it stands.

Next I look for horses with a very high total speed number and supporting factors to back it up such as, High E/S if a sprint, or a C for class drop, 3 or more LDR's and reasonable finishes in its last 4 races.  If a horse has not been in the $$$ in its last 4 races he has to have a "C" under alerts for a class drop, or I will not consider the horse. The consistency is very very important in the selection process.  Some horses run well almost always and some rarely finish in the money.

Then I focus on the top 4 Fox Powers since 65% of the time one of the top 3 win the race on average.  And 67% of the time the top Fox Power will be 1st, 2nd, or 3rd on average.

Then I look for any horse with a single outstanding high number in one of the categories that is high enough to make the horse win despite low numbers elswhere.  So always look for a horse with an LDR for a category that is a high early line odds horse.  For example, a horse with a 38 for ES in a 5F- 5 1/2 F race is a horse you must take seriously no matter where he is in the Fox Power ranking order.  If such a horse is a top 4 Fox Power you better take him very seriously.

Horses that run in the $$$ in 3 or all of its past 4 races are horses you can assume will likely repeat those performances.  They will usually be around the leaders at the finish line. Conversely, horses with bad last 4 finishes will probably finish up the track unless dropping in class.
As long as I can remember, closers have always prevailed in turf races over one mile, one mile being boarderline.  Using a speed horse on the grass is risky as one or more horses will probably press the pace and hurt the speed horse.  So make sure it is lone speed if you select a speed horse on grass.

Last, in cheap claiming races don't look for a closer to use as a key horse.  Cheap claiming horses don't close very often for the win position despite what you see in its past performances.  The E/S horse in a cheap race will give you many more winners than a closer.

All of the categories in the Fox Powers race card are very well explained. Try my method of selection with Fox Powers, I believe you will select more winners and win more often. 

RAY FOX IS A PROFESSIONAL THOROUGHBRED HANDICAPPER FOR WWW.TURFRACE.NET
AND AUTHOR OF THOROUGHBRED ARTICLES THAT HELP THOROUGHBRED RACING FANS NATIONWIDE.